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Efficiency Plus — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
18–12 on winners
spread MAE 12.0
30 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Illinois
@
Michigan State
|
-8.6 | 144.8 | 28% | 72–81 | ✗ |
West Virginia
@
TCU
|
-7.2 | 147.6 | 26% | 74–66 | ✓ |
Georgia Tech
@
Virginia Tech
|
+3.1 | 138.0 | 66% | 69–53 | ✗ |
High Point
@
Campbell
|
+2.5 | 133.1 | 58% | 48–68 | ✓ |
Bowling Green
@
Eastern Michigan
|
-10.3 | 147.2 | 19% | 82–69 | ✓ |
Notre Dame
@
Louisville
|
+2.8 | 138.2 | 66% | 57–69 | ✓ |
LSU
@
Georgia
|
-2.6 | 161.1 | 51% | 78–91 | ✗ |
Florida
@
Auburn
|
+0.4 | 148.7 | 56% | 74–57 | ✗ |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
@
Prairie View A&M
|
+16.1 | 137.8 | 89% | 56–72 | ✓ |
Iowa State
@
Baylor
|
+22.1 | 150.1 | 91% | 72–77 | ✓ |
St. John's
@
Villanova
|
+9.1 | 153.5 | 83% | 58–81 | ✓ |
Penn State
@
Nebraska
|
-4.5 | 140.7 | 31% | 86–83 | ✓ |
Mississippi Valley State
@
Texas Southern
|
+21.5 | 149.2 | 90% | 45–82 | ✓ |
Oklahoma
@
Kansas State
|
-9.7 | 132.4 | 20% | 57–62 | ✗ |
Kansas
@
Texas
|
+2.1 | 141.2 | 64% | 72–75 | ✓ |
Ole Miss
@
Missouri
|
+2.6 | 135.1 | 59% | 60–53 | ✗ |
Washington
@
Arizona State
|
+6.0 | 151.6 | 73% | 64–97 | ✓ |
UConn
@
Georgetown
|
-2.2 | 137.0 | 44% | 70–57 | ✓ |
Kent State
@
Ball State
|
-4.0 | 145.6 | 35% | 71–90 | ✗ |
Alabama A&M
@
Southern
|
+4.8 | 133.9 | 73% | 57–73 | ✓ |
Clemson
@
Wake Forest
|
-2.8 | 128.5 | 39% | 60–39 | ✓ |
St. Bonaventure
@
Davidson
|
+0.6 | 128.9 | 51% | 56–53 | ✗ |
North Carolina A&T
@
North Carolina Central
|
+3.2 | 142.0 | 52% | 79–63 | ✗ |
Alabama State
@
Alcorn State
|
+5.1 | 132.4 | 78% | 59–68 | ✓ |
Delaware State
@
Norfolk State
|
+14.1 | 152.8 | 88% | 55–86 | ✓ |
George Washington
@
George Mason
|
+5.0 | 144.0 | 74% | 58–63 | ✓ |
Hampton
@
Longwood
|
+5.6 | 135.2 | 74% | 74–68 | ✗ |
New Mexico
@
Air Force
|
+0.1 | 125.9 | 47% | 55–62 | ✓ |
Dayton
@
Saint Joseph's
|
-6.3 | 147.3 | 31% | 84–97 | ✗ |
NC State
@
Virginia
|
+8.9 | 121.0 | 81% | 68–61 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.