Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -138 KU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +3 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -2.2 (+0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -2.9 (+0.1) | 140.7 (+6.3) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -2.1 (+0.9) | 141.2 (+5.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.0 (+0.0) | 144.4 (+2.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -2.9 (+0.1) | 140.9 (+6.1) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | KU 86 – 67 TEX |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 76 – 56 KU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TEX 75 – 59 KU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | KU 88 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-8 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 70.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 65.2 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#27) | 13.7 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.73 (#14) | 2.97 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.73 (#11) | 3.34 (#18) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#20) | 0.612 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 32.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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