This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
Kansas Jayhawks
88 80
FINAL Conference
Texas Longhorns
Big 12 Conference · Allen Fieldhouse · February 7, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KU -4.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money KU -213 / TEX +163
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +8 168 Won
Massey KU -2.1 (+5.9)
Massey Totals 148.4 (+19.6)
Bradley-Terry 66%
Weighted B-T 68%
Efficiency Plus ML KU -3.0 (+5.0) 144.9 (+23.1) 66%
Baseline Tuned ML KU -2.7 (+5.3) 148.2 (+19.8) 63%
Baseline ML KU -2.2 (+5.8) 148.2 (+19.8) 59%
Baseline Plus ML KU -2.4 (+5.6) 149.5 (+18.5) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 KU 8667 TEX
Mar 11, 2023 TEX 7656 KU
Mar 4, 2023 TEX 7559 KU
Mar 5, 2022 KU 7063 TEX
Feb 8, 2022 TEX 7976 KU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU TEX
Overall 28-8 29-9
Conference 13-5 12-6
Home 15-1 17-1
Away 7-4 4-6
Neutral 6-3 8-2
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 78.0
Avg Pts Against 68.1 67.8
Massey 15.2 (#11) 16.7 (#7)
Bradley-Terry 3.26 (#4) 3.26 (#5)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.84 (#4) 3.81 (#5)
RPI 0.650 (#2) 0.633 (#7)
Shooting & Four Factors KU TEX
FG% 46.1% 48.0%
3PT% 35.6% 33.1%
REB / G 37.0 35.3
OREB / G 10.4 10.3
AST / TO 1.33 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.4% 53.8%
TOV% 17.9% 17.2%
ORB% 30.0% 29.9%
FT Rate 21.5% 23.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 20.3% 22.6%
DRB% 72.1% 71.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.0% 24.6%

Game Analysis

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