Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | KU -213 TEX +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +8 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | KU -2.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -3.0 (+5.0) | 144.9 (+23.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -2.7 (+5.3) | 148.2 (+19.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -2.2 (+5.8) | 148.2 (+19.8) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -2.4 (+5.6) | 149.5 (+18.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | KU 86 – 67 TEX |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 76 – 56 KU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TEX 75 – 59 KU |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TEX 79 – 76 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 17-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#11) | 16.7 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.26 (#4) | 3.26 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.84 (#4) | 3.81 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#2) | 0.633 (#7) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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