And Harry doesn't mind if he doesn't make the scene. "Sultans of Swing" - Dire Straits
Texas Longhorns
79 76
FINAL Conference
Kansas Jayhawks
Big 12 Conference · Frank Erwin Center · February 8, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -1.0 Home covered
O/U 132.5 Over
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +3 155 Won
Massey KU -0.4 (+3.4)
Massey Totals 135.3 (+19.7)
Bradley-Terry 33%
Weighted B-T 32%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -1.7 (+1.3) 132.1 (+22.9) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -1.6 (+1.4) 136.9 (+18.1) 58%
Baseline ML TEX -1.9 (+1.1) 138.1 (+16.9) 69%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -1.7 (+1.3) 134.9 (+20.1) 65%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 KU 8667 TEX
Mar 11, 2023 TEX 7656 KU
Mar 4, 2023 TEX 7559 KU
Feb 7, 2023 KU 8880 TEX
Mar 5, 2022 KU 7063 TEX

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX KU
Overall 22-12 34-6
Conference 10-8 14-4
Home 16-3 19-1
Away 4-7 6-4
Neutral 2-2 9-1
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 W11
Avg Pts For 68.8 78.2
Avg Pts Against 60.6 67.2
Massey 15.6 (#16) 19.1 (#7)
Bradley-Terry 2.49 (#28) 3.74 (#4)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.36 (#20) 4.72 (#3)
RPI 0.575 (#59) 0.675 (#1)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX KU
FG% 45.6% 49.2%
3PT% 33.4% 36.0%
REB / G 33.7 37.3
OREB / G 10.0 11.4
AST / TO 1.17 1.25
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 55.4%
TOV% 18.8% 18.4%
ORB% 32.2% 34.8%
FT Rate 22.5% 21.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 45.1% 47.4%
Opp TOV% 24.9% 19.5%
DRB% 71.0% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 19.3% 19.2%

Game Analysis

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