Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | KU -0.4 (+3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -1.7 (+1.3) | 132.1 (+22.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -1.6 (+1.4) | 136.9 (+18.1) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -1.9 (+1.1) | 138.1 (+16.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -1.7 (+1.3) | 134.9 (+20.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | KU 86 – 67 TEX |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 76 – 56 KU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TEX 75 – 59 KU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | KU 88 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 34-6 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-3 | 19-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 9-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 78.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 15.6 (#16) | 19.1 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#28) | 3.74 (#4) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#20) | 4.72 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#59) | 0.675 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 49.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.1% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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