Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Texas Longhorns
75 59
FINAL Conference
Kansas Jayhawks
Big 12 Conference · Moody Center · March 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -4.0 Home covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +16 134 Won
Massey TEX -3.7 (+12.3)
Massey Totals 149.6 (-15.6)
Bradley-Terry 46%
Weighted B-T 48%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -3.7 (+12.3) 147.3 (-13.3) 65%
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -2.7 (+13.3) 149.8 (-15.8) 61%
Baseline ML TEX -3.2 (+12.8) 149.1 (-15.1) 67%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -3.4 (+12.6) 149.8 (-15.8) 71%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 KU 8667 TEX
Mar 11, 2023 TEX 7656 KU
Feb 7, 2023 KU 8880 TEX
Mar 5, 2022 KU 7063 TEX
Feb 8, 2022 TEX 7976 KU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX KU
Overall 29-9 28-8
Conference 12-6 13-5
Home 17-1 15-1
Away 4-6 7-4
Neutral 8-2 6-3
Last 5 2-3 5-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.0 75.4
Avg Pts Against 67.8 68.1
Massey 16.8 (#6) 16.7 (#8)
Bradley-Terry 2.77 (#9) 3.55 (#2)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.36 (#11) 4.15 (#2)
RPI 0.602 (#22) 0.652 (#2)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX KU
FG% 47.2% 46.7%
3PT% 34.7% 34.9%
REB / G 34.3 36.4
OREB / G 10.1 10.0
AST / TO 1.37 1.40
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 52.6%
TOV% 16.8% 17.3%
ORB% 29.1% 29.2%
FT Rate 23.3% 21.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.9% 46.8%
Opp TOV% 22.9% 20.4%
DRB% 70.4% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 23.0%

Game Analysis

Loading game analysis…

Failed to load game analysis.