Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +16 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -3.7 (+12.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.7 (+12.3) | 147.3 (-13.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -2.7 (+13.3) | 149.8 (-15.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.2 (+12.8) | 149.1 (-15.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.4 (+12.6) | 149.8 (-15.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | KU 86 – 67 TEX |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 76 – 56 KU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | KU 88 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TEX 79 – 76 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | KU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 28-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 13-5 |
| Home | 17-1 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 16.8 (#6) | 16.7 (#8) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#9) | 3.55 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.36 (#11) | 4.15 (#2) |
| RPI | 0.602 (#22) | 0.652 (#2) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | KU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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