Free Nelson Mandela! "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Kansas Jayhawks
70 – 63 OT
FINAL Conference
Texas Longhorns
Big 12 Conference · Allen Fieldhouse · March 5, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread KU -6.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual KU +7 133 Won
Massey KU -6.0 (+1.0) — —
Massey Totals — 139.6 (-6.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ KU -6.2 (+0.8) 142.9 (-9.9) 78% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML KU -6.4 (+0.6) 144.9 (-11.9) 73% ✓
Baseline ML KU -6.3 (+0.7) 145.3 (-12.3) 77% ✓
Baseline Plus ML KU -6.3 (+0.7) 143.0 (-10.0) 79% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 KU 86 – 67 TEX
Mar 11, 2023 TEX 76 – 56 KU
Mar 4, 2023 TEX 75 – 59 KU
Feb 7, 2023 KU 88 – 80 TEX
Feb 8, 2022 TEX 79 – 76 KU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU TEX
Overall 34-6 22-12
Conference 14-4 10-8
Home 19-1 16-3
Away 6-4 4-7
Neutral 9-1 2-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak W11 L1
Avg Pts For 78.2 68.8
Avg Pts Against 67.2 60.6
Massey 18.2 (#8) 15.0 (#18)
Bradley-Terry 3.35 (#7) 2.63 (#22)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.14 (#6) 3.28 (#18)
RPI 0.652 (#1) 0.568 (#59)
Shooting & Four Factors KU TEX
FG% 48.6% 44.7%
3PT% 36.1% 32.0%
REB / G 37.1 33.4
OREB / G 11.1 10.4
AST / TO 1.24 1.13
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 50.4%
TOV% 17.9% 18.0%
ORB% 33.7% 32.3%
FT Rate 22.5% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.3% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 18.1% 23.7%
DRB% 71.3% 70.5%
Opp FT Rate 19.5% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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