Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | KU -145 TEX +122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +20 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -0.6 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -0.5 (-19.5) | 139.6 (-7.6) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -0.1 (-20.1) | 141.0 (-9.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -0.0 (-20.0) | 139.3 (-7.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -0.6 (-19.4) | 142.6 (-10.6) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2024 | KU 86 – 67 TEX |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TEX 75 – 59 KU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | KU 88 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TEX 79 – 76 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-8 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 15-1 | 17-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#8) | 17.3 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.48 (#2) | 2.92 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.10 (#2) | 3.57 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.647 (#2) | 0.603 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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