And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
Kansas Jayhawks
56 76
FINAL Neutral Conference Big 12
Texas Longhorns
Big 12 Conference · T-Mobile Center (Neutral) · March 11, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread KU -2.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money KU -145 / TEX +122
Model Predictions
Spread Total KU win
Actual TEX +20 132 Lost
Massey TEX -0.6 (-19.4)
Massey Totals 145.4 (-13.4)
Bradley-Terry 64%
Weighted B-T 63%
Efficiency Plus ML TEX -0.5 (-19.5) 139.6 (-7.6) 50%
Baseline Tuned ML KU -0.1 (-20.1) 141.0 (-9.0) 51%
Baseline ML TEX -0.0 (-20.0) 139.3 (-7.3) 46%
Baseline Plus ML TEX -0.6 (-19.4) 142.6 (-10.6) 46%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 24, 2024 KU 8667 TEX
Mar 4, 2023 TEX 7559 KU
Feb 7, 2023 KU 8880 TEX
Mar 5, 2022 KU 7063 TEX
Feb 8, 2022 TEX 7976 KU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KU TEX
Overall 28-8 29-9
Conference 13-5 12-6
Home 15-1 17-1
Away 7-4 4-6
Neutral 6-3 8-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 78.0
Avg Pts Against 68.1 67.8
Massey 16.7 (#8) 17.3 (#7)
Bradley-Terry 3.48 (#2) 2.92 (#7)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.10 (#2) 3.57 (#8)
RPI 0.647 (#2) 0.603 (#18)
Shooting & Four Factors KU TEX
FG% 46.6% 46.9%
3PT% 34.8% 34.5%
REB / G 36.3 34.3
OREB / G 9.9 9.8
AST / TO 1.39 1.37
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.5% 53.0%
TOV% 17.2% 16.7%
ORB% 28.6% 28.2%
FT Rate 21.3% 23.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.0% 48.1%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 22.9%
DRB% 72.2% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 25.8%

Game Analysis

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