Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | KU -300 TEX +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +19 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | KU -5.8 (+13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -5.8 (+13.2) | 142.0 (+11.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -5.8 (+13.2) | 140.8 (+12.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -5.9 (+13.1) | 139.8 (+13.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -5.7 (+13.3) | 141.0 (+12.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 76 – 56 KU |
| Mar 4, 2023 | TEX 75 – 59 KU |
| Feb 7, 2023 | KU 88 – 80 TEX |
| Mar 5, 2022 | KU 70 – 63 TEX |
| Feb 8, 2022 | TEX 79 – 76 KU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#17) | 12.7 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#6) | 1.82 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#11) | 2.23 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.634 (#8) | 0.568 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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