Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -125 SBU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +3 | 109 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -0.6 (-2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -1.8 (-4.8) | 135.4 (-26.4) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -0.6 (-3.6) | 128.9 (-19.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -1.5 (-4.5) | 133.9 (-24.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -1.6 (-4.6) | 135.2 (-26.2) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 SBU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SBU 64 – 61 DAV |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SBU 81 – 80 DAV |
| Mar 8, 2023 | DAV 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAV 74 – 61 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-9 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 7-4 | 11-4 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-1 |
| Away | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.8 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#75) | 10.6 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#102) | 2.07 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.48 (#84) | 2.60 (#42) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#148) | 0.606 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.1% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 80.4% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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