Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -135 SBU +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -0.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -0.3 (-3.3) | 132.6 (-7.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -1.0 (-4.0) | 132.9 (-7.9) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -0.1 (-3.1) | 134.2 (-9.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -0.5 (-3.5) | 134.7 (-9.7) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 SBU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SBU 81 – 80 DAV |
| Mar 8, 2023 | DAV 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAV 74 – 61 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | DAV 81 – 76 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 1.1 (#144) | 4.1 (#102) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#159) | 0.88 (#100) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#144) | 1.17 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#172) | 0.553 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 18.4% |
Game Analysis
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