Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | DAV -0.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -1.0 (-6.0) | 140.1 (+16.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -0.8 (-5.8) | 138.6 (+18.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.6 (-5.6) | 141.7 (+15.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.7 (-5.7) | 141.8 (+15.2) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 SBU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SBU 64 – 61 DAV |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SBU 81 – 80 DAV |
| Mar 8, 2023 | DAV 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAV 74 – 61 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 27-7 |
| Conference | 12-5 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.0 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 4.8 (#103) | 8.7 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.53 (#67) | 2.52 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.68 (#79) | 2.63 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.574 (#61) | 0.603 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 40.7% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 77.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.9% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.