Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | SBU -218 DAV +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +5 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -0.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -0.4 (-5.4) | 138.5 (-7.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -1.4 (-6.4) | 136.3 (-5.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -0.6 (-5.6) | 139.0 (-8.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.2 (-5.2) | 140.6 (-9.6) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | SBU 64 – 61 DAV |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SBU 81 – 80 DAV |
| Mar 8, 2023 | DAV 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAV 74 – 61 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | DAV 81 – 76 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#146) | 3.5 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#162) | 0.53 (#116) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#156) | 0.70 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#143) | 0.535 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 36.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.