Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Under |
| Money | DAV -155 SBU +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +11 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -2.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -2.6 (+8.4) | 136.5 (-17.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -2.2 (+8.8) | 133.2 (-14.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -2.5 (+8.5) | 136.5 (-17.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -3.0 (+8.0) | 136.9 (-17.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 SBU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SBU 64 – 61 DAV |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SBU 81 – 80 DAV |
| Feb 23, 2023 | DAV 74 – 61 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | DAV 81 – 76 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#141) | -1.0 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#154) | -0.26 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#132) | -0.20 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#150) | 0.489 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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