We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall
Atlantic 10 Conference · John M. Belk Arena · February 23, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread DAV -5.5 Home covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money DAV -250 / SBU +188
Model Predictions
Spread Total DAV win
Actual DAV +13 135 Won
Massey DAV -5.2 (+7.8)
Massey Totals 133.7 (+1.3)
Bradley-Terry 71%
Weighted B-T 79%
Efficiency Plus ML DAV -5.2 (+7.8) 136.7 (-1.7) 68%
Baseline Tuned ML DAV -4.5 (+8.5) 138.3 (-3.3) 68%
Baseline ML DAV -4.4 (+8.6) 138.8 (-3.8) 68%
Baseline Plus ML DAV -4.7 (+8.3) 137.9 (-2.9) 68%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 7, 2026 DAV 6863 SBU
Mar 8, 2025 SBU 6461 DAV
Feb 17, 2024 SBU 8180 DAV
Mar 8, 2023 DAV 6554 SBU
Feb 2, 2022 DAV 8176 SBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DAV SBU
Overall 16-16 14-18
Conference 8-10 8-10
Home 7-8 11-4
Away 6-6 2-11
Neutral 3-2 1-3
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 69.3 66.8
Avg Pts Against 68.8 67.7
Massey 0.9 (#152) -0.7 (#187)
Bradley-Terry 0.04 (#168) -0.20 (#195)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.41 (#139) -0.16 (#182)
RPI 0.507 (#167) 0.495 (#190)
Shooting & Four Factors DAV SBU
FG% 44.6% 42.7%
3PT% 32.1% 34.8%
REB / G 32.4 33.0
OREB / G 8.3 9.5
AST / TO 1.14 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 48.9%
TOV% 16.8% 18.5%
ORB% 25.0% 27.5%
FT Rate 25.1% 21.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.4% 48.7%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 19.7%
DRB% 70.3% 71.3%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 28.4%

Game Analysis

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