Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | DAV -250 SBU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +13 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -5.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -4.7 (+8.3) | 137.9 (-2.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -5.2 (+7.8) | 136.7 (-1.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -4.5 (+8.5) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -4.4 (+8.6) | 138.8 (-3.8) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 SBU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SBU 64 – 61 DAV |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SBU 81 – 80 DAV |
| Mar 8, 2023 | DAV 65 – 54 SBU |
| Feb 2, 2022 | DAV 81 – 76 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 67.7 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#152) | -0.7 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#168) | -0.20 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#139) | -0.16 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#167) | 0.495 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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