Betting Lines
| Spread | SOU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SOU -300 AAMU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SOU +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | SOU -5.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SOU -3.0 (+13.0) | 134.1 (-4.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SOU -4.8 (+11.2) | 133.9 (-3.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SOU -4.1 (+11.9) | 137.5 (-7.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SOU -3.3 (+12.7) | 133.0 (-3.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | SOU 88 – 85 AAMU |
| Feb 7, 2026 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SOU 71 – 57 AAMU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SOU 81 – 68 AAMU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AAMU 66 – 56 SOU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-11 | 6-9 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-9 |
| Home | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#303) | -12.5 (#328) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.61 (#295) | -0.89 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#311) | -2.31 (#306) |
| RPI | 0.455 (#247) | 0.457 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SOU | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 74.4% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.