Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | EMU +275 BGSU -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BGSU +13 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | BGSU -12.2 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BGSU -10.5 (-2.5) | 148.2 (+2.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -10.3 (-2.7) | 147.2 (+3.8) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -11.2 (-1.8) | 149.6 (+1.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BGSU -11.6 (-1.4) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | BGSU 77 – 69 EMU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | BGSU 85 – 79 EMU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | BGSU 65 – 60 EMU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | EMU 68 – 62 BGSU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | EMU 69 – 60 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 14-12 |
| Conference | 3-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 5-4 | 4-7 |
| Away | 1-8 | 10-3 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 77.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.4 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#327) | 2.6 (#129) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.31 (#327) | 0.13 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.75 (#322) | 0.16 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#309) | 0.504 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.8% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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