Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +210 LSU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +13 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -6.4 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -3.4 (+16.4) | 162.7 (+6.3) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -2.6 (+15.6) | 161.1 (+7.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -3.5 (+16.5) | 163.4 (+5.6) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -3.2 (+16.2) | 163.1 (+5.9) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UGA 83 – 71 LSU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | UGA 81 – 62 LSU |
| Feb 28, 2024 | LSU 67 – 66 UGA |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UGA 68 – 66 LSU |
| Mar 9, 2023 | LSU 72 – 67 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-12 | 19-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-6 |
| Home | 12-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 81.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.6 | 75.2 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#101) | 13.9 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#75) | 2.13 (#43) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#82) | 2.75 (#37) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#117) | 0.600 (#32) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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