Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MIZ -150 MISS +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +7 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -3.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -4.9 (-11.9) | 138.8 (-25.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -2.6 (-9.6) | 135.1 (-22.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -4.2 (-11.2) | 139.1 (-26.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -4.7 (-11.7) | 138.6 (-25.6) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | MISS 76 – 69 MIZ |
| Jan 25, 2025 | MIZ 83 – 75 MISS |
| Mar 3, 2024 | MISS 84 – 78 MIZ |
| Feb 18, 2024 | MISS 79 – 76 MIZ |
| Mar 4, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 77 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 63.6 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#40) | 9.6 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#28) | 1.34 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.75 (#34) | 1.77 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#13) | 0.544 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 44.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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