Betting Lines
| Spread | KENT -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Over |
| Money | BALL +260 KENT -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BALL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +19 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | KENT -5.0 (+24.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.8 (+14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENT -5.0 (+24.0) | 143.9 (+17.1) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENT -4.0 (+23.0) | 145.6 (+15.4) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENT -4.3 (+23.3) | 146.4 (+14.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KENT -5.1 (+24.1) | 144.2 (+16.8) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | KENT 75 – 68 BALL |
| Jan 4, 2025 | BALL 75 – 67 KENT |
| Mar 6, 2024 | BALL 76 – 69 KENT |
| Jan 3, 2024 | KENT 82 – 69 BALL |
| Feb 22, 2023 | BALL 82 – 70 KENT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BALL | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-13 | 15-8 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 7-4 | 9-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#183) | 6.0 (#91) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.58 (#213) | 1.07 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#199) | 1.47 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#195) | 0.553 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BALL | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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