Betting Lines
| Spread | VT -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | VT -138 GT +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +16 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | VT -3.5 (-19.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VT -3.8 (-19.8) | 141.7 (-19.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VT -3.1 (-19.1) | 138.0 (-16.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VT -2.9 (-18.9) | 140.8 (-18.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VT -3.7 (-19.7) | 142.9 (-20.9) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | VT 71 – 65 GT |
| Jan 23, 2025 | GT 71 – 64 VT |
| Jan 27, 2024 | VT 91 – 67 GT |
| Feb 16, 2023 | GT 77 – 70 VT |
| Feb 24, 2022 | VT 62 – 58 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-7 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 9-4 | 11-6 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-3 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 11.2 (#35) | 10.2 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#30) | 1.57 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#27) | 2.34 (#56) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#26) | 0.524 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VT | GT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 30.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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