Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | AUB +110 FLA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +17 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -1.7 (-15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -0.0 (-17.0) | 152.7 (-21.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -0.4 (-17.4) | 148.7 (-17.7) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -0.1 (-17.1) | 152.8 (-21.8) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -0.1 (-17.1) | 154.0 (-23.0) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | AUB 76 – 67 FLA |
| Apr 5, 2025 | FLA 79 – 73 AUB |
| Feb 8, 2025 | FLA 90 – 81 AUB |
| Mar 17, 2024 | AUB 86 – 67 FLA |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FLA 81 – 65 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-14 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.4 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#67) | 12.7 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#82) | 1.99 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#75) | 2.55 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#105) | 0.586 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 39.3 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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