Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | TXSO -20000 MVSU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +37 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -32.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -21.7 (+15.3) | 149.6 (-22.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -21.5 (+15.5) | 149.2 (-22.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -32.2 (+4.8) | 147.8 (-20.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -30.8 (+6.2) | 148.0 (-21.0) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 2-22 |
| Conference | 10-3 | 2-13 |
| Home | 8-2 | 1-5 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-16 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 56.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 87.4 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#243) | -35.0 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#193) | -3.59 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#229) | -5.43 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#152) | 0.390 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 35.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 28.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 23.7% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 16.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 13.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 57.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 61.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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