Betting Lines
| Spread | USF -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | USF -175 TEM +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +18 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | USF -3.4 (-21.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-24.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USF -2.7 (-20.7) | 139.0 (-27.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USF -2.8 (-20.8) | 135.0 (-23.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USF -2.9 (-20.9) | 136.1 (-24.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USF -2.7 (-20.7) | 138.2 (-26.2) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | TEM 79 – 78 USF |
| Feb 27, 2025 | TEM 73 – 71 USF |
| Feb 7, 2025 | USF 100 – 91 TEM |
| Jan 25, 2024 | USF 75 – 69 TEM |
| Jan 5, 2024 | USF 76 – 68 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 5-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Away | 3-4 | 2-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#141) | 0.4 (#157) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#118) | 0.05 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#115) | 0.31 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#145) | 0.464 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USF | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 35.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.