Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | FUR -2500 CIT +1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FUR +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | FUR -15.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.7 (-27.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -12.9 (-3.9) | 152.6 (-17.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -12.4 (-3.4) | 152.1 (-17.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -14.0 (-5.0) | 155.2 (-20.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -13.8 (-4.8) | 153.1 (-18.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | FUR 72 – 51 CIT |
| Jan 22, 2026 | CIT 77 – 75 FUR |
| Feb 27, 2025 | FUR 85 – 42 CIT |
| Jan 9, 2025 | FUR 67 – 63 CIT |
| Feb 1, 2024 | FUR 82 – 79 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-9 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 77.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 82.3 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#67) | -4.5 (#243) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#93) | -0.17 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#88) | -0.20 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#74) | 0.478 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | CIT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 14.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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