Betting Lines
| Spread | UIW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | UIW -120 LAM +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAM +22 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | UIW -6.0 (-28.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIW -3.9 (-25.9) | 135.3 (-23.3) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIW -3.5 (-25.5) | 134.5 (-22.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIW -3.4 (-25.4) | 134.7 (-22.7) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIW -3.1 (-25.1) | 134.5 (-22.5) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UIW 72 – 60 LAM |
| Jan 11, 2026 | LAM 63 – 51 UIW |
| Feb 25, 2025 | UIW 73 – 61 LAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | LAM 72 – 58 UIW |
| Feb 13, 2024 | UIW 76 – 67 LAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-14 | 10-18 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 6-10 |
| Home | 5-7 | 5-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#301) | -12.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.39 (#328) | -2.76 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#329) | -3.60 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.411 (#310) | 0.382 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 30.2 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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