Betting Lines
| Spread | NOLA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC +120 NOLA -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +8 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | NOLA -1.6 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -0.2 (-7.8) | 144.9 (-14.9) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -0.7 (-7.3) | 143.2 (-13.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -0.9 (-7.1) | 146.1 (-16.1) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -0.7 (-7.3) | 146.9 (-16.9) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | AMCC 74 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NOLA 84 – 78 AMCC |
| Dec 31, 2025 | AMCC 83 – 69 NOLA |
| Mar 4, 2025 | AMCC 95 – 62 NOLA |
| Jan 7, 2025 | AMCC 97 – 83 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-19 | 10-15 |
| Conference | 2-13 | 8-7 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.4 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 77.2 |
| Massey | -12.8 (#330) | -8.8 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.80 (#346) | -2.86 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.74 (#342) | -3.52 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#340) | 0.375 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 24.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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