Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -400 MAN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +5 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SIE -11.1 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.5 (+18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -9.6 (-4.6) | 130.9 (+12.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -7.4 (-2.4) | 131.6 (+11.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -9.1 (-4.1) | 132.1 (+10.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -9.6 (-4.6) | 130.7 (+12.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | SIE 74 – 59 MAN |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MAN 78 – 66 SIE |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SIE 103 – 95 MAN |
| Mar 2, 2024 | MAN 70 – 68 SIE |
| Feb 11, 2024 | SIE 68 – 63 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-5 | 7-13 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 6-12 |
| Home | 6-2 | 4-6 |
| Away | 6-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.0 | 67.2 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#146) | -7.5 (#278) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.76 (#113) | -1.01 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#110) | -1.46 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#69) | 0.429 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 27.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 42.0% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.