Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +300 WEB -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +9 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -10.2 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (+5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -8.9 (-0.1) | 149.2 (+5.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -8.2 (-0.8) | 147.2 (+7.8) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -8.4 (-0.6) | 149.4 (+5.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -9.0 (-0.0) | 150.4 (+4.6) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-12 | 17-6 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 12-3 |
| Home | 5-3 | 11-0 |
| Away | 3-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 79.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#269) | 6.1 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.31 (#276) | 0.11 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.91 (#292) | 0.17 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.465 (#230) | 0.544 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 57.3% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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