Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | SDSU -225 BOIS +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -5.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -6.6 (-2.6) | 136.6 (-16.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -5.0 (-1.0) | 132.7 (-12.7) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -5.7 (-1.7) | 136.6 (-16.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -6.1 (-2.1) | 135.4 (-15.4) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-5 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 14-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-2 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#21) | 10.8 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.33 (#27) | 2.24 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#34) | 2.48 (#51) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#7) | 0.633 (#5) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.