Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -700 UCSD +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +25 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -11.2 (+13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.7 (+15.3) | 140.6 (-5.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -9.7 (+15.3) | 139.3 (-4.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -10.9 (+14.1) | 139.8 (-4.8) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -10.0 (+15.0) | 141.4 (-6.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | UCSD 71 – 69 UCI |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCI 61 – 59 UCSD |
| Mar 16, 2025 | UCSD 75 – 61 UCI |
| Feb 9, 2025 | UCSD 85 – 67 UCI |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UCI 60 – 52 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 0-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#118) | -5.4 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#133) | -1.24 (#270) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#120) | -1.63 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#103) | 0.447 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCSD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 27.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 5.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 15.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 14.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 16.1% |
Game Analysis
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