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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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69–38 on winners spread MAE 7.9 107 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Presbyterian @ Gardner-Webb +7.0 128.2 76% 64–91 ✓
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.9 140.5 54% 60–86 ✓
Akron @ Kent State +4.3 150.3 60% 72–61 ✗
Maryland @ Penn State +3.0 139.0 66% 50–55 ✓
George Mason @ Dayton +5.6 135.3 72% 65–74 ✓
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +0.8 142.8 46% 84–78 ✗
Cleveland State @ Oakland -0.4 142.0 41% 80–72 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +8.2 133.4 81% 56–71 ✓
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +6.7 134.1 75% 56–63 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Troy +2.7 130.7 57% 56–68 ✓
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -0.9 144.6 47% 87–95 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama -1.2 142.6 46% 65–71 ✗
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee -3.4 126.0 44% 65–66 ✗
Marshall @ Old Dominion -2.5 141.4 41% 81–82 ✗
UTSA @ Florida International +2.4 152.6 50% 87–80 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge -0.5 150.1 50% 77–80 ✗
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +2.9 129.2 56% 53–70 ✓
UTEP @ UAB +9.8 134.1 82% 51–63 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.2 136.0 62% 68–73 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha -0.2 152.0 40% 85–77 ✓
Wright State @ UIC -11.9 143.9 16% 72–47 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +4.8 129.7 69% 68–63 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +4.4 150.5 66% 64–56 ✗
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +3.3 140.7 60% 54–61 ✓
Monmouth @ Manhattan -4.4 142.7 23% 70–65 ✓
Boise State @ Nevada -3.2 143.2 39% 72–74 ✗
California Baptist @ New Mexico State +1.7 141.2 54% 85–75 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -1.7 145.3 48% 76–77 ✗
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +13.1 132.4 88% 68–84 ✓
Iowa State @ Oklahoma +14.8 143.7 90% 72–79 ✓
Alabama @ Missouri -0.5 152.0 56% 65–68 ✗
Virginia Tech @ Miami -6.8 131.5 27% 80–76 ✓
DePaul @ Butler +3.4 129.6 70% 58–68 ✓
Seton Hall @ UConn +3.7 133.7 65% 80–73 ✗
NC State @ Boston College -0.5 149.6 46% 81–65 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -8.1 147.4 25% 67–81 ✗
La Salle @ Fordham -5.0 127.6 35% 68–76 ✗
UMass Lowell @ New Hampshire -0.6 134.0 52% 63–74 ✗
Towson @ Charleston +3.0 135.2 64% 88–90 ✓
Western Carolina @ The Citadel +2.1 156.6 65% 63–74 ✓
Belmont @ SIU Edwardsville -10.9 146.5 15% 94–62 ✓
Kansas @ West Virginia +2.3 141.9 66% 79–91 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -13.1 138.0 17% 80–77 ✓
Delaware State @ Morgan State +17.5 159.3 90% 69–74 ✓
Western Michigan @ Central Michigan +2.1 141.2 54% 67–65 ✗
St. Bonaventure @ Saint Louis +2.3 134.6 66% 59–70 ✓
St. John's @ Providence +1.7 152.1 53% 92–81 ✗
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +16.2 127.5 90% 55–68 ✓
East Carolina @ Memphis +9.6 137.3 82% 59–66 ✓
Syracuse @ Clemson +1.5 136.2 58% 61–78 ✓
North Dakota @ Denver -2.7 141.9 34% 81–85 ✗
Austin Peay @ Morehead State +4.3 128.0 70% 74–75 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas +4.9 129.6 69% 55–57 ✓
UTSA @ Florida International +2.4 152.4 51% 90–47 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Buffalo +7.3 147.9 77% 64–88 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +1.3 135.8 58% 73–71 ✗
Montana State @ Weber State +7.6 147.5 81% 74–82 ✓
Wisconsin @ Illinois +5.3 134.8 75% 60–75 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma State +0.1 146.4 57% 67–75 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -6.6 142.1 28% 74–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Milwaukee +0.6 140.8 49% 79–65 ✗
McNeese @ Central Arkansas +7.5 148.5 63% 80–70 ✗
Southern Miss @ Rice +6.9 140.2 74% 68–76 ✓
Montana @ Portland State +0.7 130.3 63% 56–61 ✓
Idaho @ Eastern Washington +14.8 145.7 90% 64–90 ✓
Mississippi State @ South Carolina -0.2 140.8 49% 75–59 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas State -12.8 132.8 14% 73–62 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Virginia +9.3 125.7 83% 66–73 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +5.7 130.9 74% 66–74 ✓
Washington @ Oregon +12.2 148.1 87% 74–86 ✓
Air Force @ UNLV +11.1 128.0 86% 58–68 ✓
Ole Miss @ Auburn +2.3 138.1 64% 86–84 ✗
Murray State @ Eastern Kentucky +4.8 147.6 68% 76–64 ✗
Chattanooga @ East Tennessee State +5.6 137.8 76% 67–65 ✗
Northwestern @ Purdue +6.7 135.0 80% 70–75 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -0.8 133.0 38% 58–53 ✓
Jackson State @ Alcorn State -1.6 132.5 34% 74–66 ✓
Creighton @ Marquette -2.2 143.8 45% 71–68 ✓
Lipscomb @ Stetson +2.3 137.3 63% 69–61 ✗
Youngstown State @ Robert Morris +0.8 143.8 46% 70–66 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Green Bay +2.7 146.2 64% 72–79 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ Detroit Mercy +7.2 148.3 77% 56–83 ✓
Cleveland State @ Oakland -0.4 143.9 40% 80–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ UT Martin -1.1 135.2 46% 64–66 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Southeast Missouri State -3.0 137.1 43% 66–54 ✓
Tennessee State @ Eastern Illinois +2.9 135.3 69% 72–86 ✓
Jacksonville @ Bellarmine +8.4 133.1 81% 44–63 ✓
UL Monroe @ UT Arlington +6.6 134.8 74% 52–58 ✓
Little Rock @ Texas State +3.5 122.8 62% 67–77 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Troy +2.8 130.7 57% 79–64 ✗
Coastal Carolina @ South Alabama -0.8 140.9 46% 66–70 ✗
Louisiana @ Arkansas State -0.6 146.6 48% 77–83 ✗
UTEP @ UAB +9.6 132.8 83% 60–75 ✓
Charlotte @ Middle Tennessee -3.4 126.0 43% 60–73 ✗
UC Davis @ Cal State Northridge -0.4 149.9 50% 75–63 ✓
Abilene Christian @ Lamar -11.8 134.9 14% 77–62 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Alabama State +3.7 134.0 71% 67–73 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Alabama A&M +20.3 151.2 90% 58–93 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -0.7 133.6 45% 61–57 ✓
Washington State @ Oregon State +0.7 131.9 55% 66–68 ✓
UCF @ Tulsa +3.3 131.9 64% 65–58 ✗
Colorado State @ Wyoming -6.4 148.3 27% 68–59 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +0.0 139.6 51% 91–87 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Georgia +4.1 148.8 69% 70–73 ✓
Nicholls @ Sam Houston +3.2 148.4 63% 71–78 ✓
Wofford @ Furman +5.5 141.7 71% 75–67 ✗
Nebraska @ Michigan State +5.5 144.9 76% 56–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.