Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | OAK +100 CLE +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLE +2 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | CLE -1.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -0.9 (-1.1) | 143.3 (+14.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -0.4 (-1.6) | 143.9 (+14.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.2 (-0.8) | 143.4 (+14.6) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -1.0 (-1.0) | 145.5 (+12.5) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | CLE 91 – 78 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2026 | OAK 97 – 74 CLE |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OAK 91 – 86 CLE |
| Dec 20, 2024 | CLE 92 – 75 OAK |
| Mar 11, 2024 | OAK 74 – 71 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 16-4 |
| Home | 5-4 | 9-2 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#271) | -2.2 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#227) | 0.73 (#124) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#234) | 0.58 (#141) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#128) | 0.590 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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