Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | CIT +120 WCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIT +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | CIT -1.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 175.9 (-38.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIT -1.2 (+9.8) | 161.6 (-24.6) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIT -2.1 (+8.9) | 156.6 (-19.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIT -2.0 (+9.0) | 162.1 (-25.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIT -1.8 (+9.2) | 161.2 (-24.2) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 11, 2026 | WCU 87 – 49 CIT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CIT 79 – 77 WCU |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WCU 76 – 73 CIT |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WCU 80 – 78 CIT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | WCU 71 – 64 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-12 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 4-13 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-5 |
| Away | 1-8 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.3 | 79.5 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#241) | -3.8 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#205) | -0.53 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#194) | -0.64 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#225) | 0.463 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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