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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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24–12 on winners spread MAE 8.5 36 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
North Alabama @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.3 144.0 64% 60–69 ✓
Marshall @ Old Dominion -1.8 142.5 44% 87–67 ✓
Pepperdine @ Portland -10.2 154.9 17% 91–70 ✓
Tennessee @ Kentucky -2.8 130.6 39% 82–71 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Texas Southern +2.6 141.0 64% 75–77 ✓
Arizona @ Colorado +4.2 139.1 73% 79–82 ✓
Massachusetts @ Rhode Island +3.8 147.3 59% 75–63 ✗
Notre Dame @ Georgia Tech +2.6 145.1 65% 80–82 ✓
Western Illinois @ Omaha -0.9 152.7 35% 75–73 ✓
Wright State @ UIC -12.9 141.6 15% 77–57 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +4.8 137.2 66% 72–69 ✗
South Dakota @ South Dakota State +3.5 147.3 66% 78–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ North Dakota State +3.9 137.9 58% 80–74 ✗
Monmouth @ Manhattan -3.8 141.4 25% 71–69 ✓
California Baptist @ New Mexico State -0.5 144.0 47% 70–97 ✗
Seattle U @ Utah Tech -1.6 144.8 41% 77–56 ✓
UCLA @ USC +4.2 137.8 70% 48–66 ✓
Cal State Bakersfield @ UC Irvine +3.8 126.9 60% 62–57 ✗
Cal Poly @ Hawai'i +12.9 135.6 88% 64–81 ✓
Iowa @ Indiana -2.1 153.6 50% 65–67 ✗
Lafayette @ Loyola Maryland +0.9 140.4 57% 62–75 ✓
Cincinnati @ Tulane +0.4 134.1 53% 64–61 ✗
UMBC @ Stony Brook -1.2 131.7 50% 71–65 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +3.2 138.5 65% 53–66 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso -11.6 140.1 19% 57–74 ✗
High Point @ Hampton +0.3 138.1 46% 72–58 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Fairfield -1.9 135.3 43% 78–63 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +6.5 152.8 75% 72–84 ✓
Evansville @ Loyola Chicago +16.0 125.1 90% 58–69 ✓
Drexel @ Hofstra +1.5 133.9 62% 74–79 ✓
Georgetown @ Villanova +10.1 143.3 85% 74–84 ✓
Missouri State @ Illinois State -5.8 142.3 31% 72–62 ✓
Temple @ Wichita State +6.9 142.6 79% 67–70 ✓
Indiana State @ Northern Iowa -0.9 130.9 46% 67–70 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Bradley +5.3 130.9 70% 69–68 ✗
Boise State @ Nevada -3.0 142.2 43% 62–73 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.