Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | URI -400 MASS +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MASS +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | URI -5.7 (-17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -4.8 (-16.8) | 145.1 (-7.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -3.8 (-15.8) | 147.3 (-9.3) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -4.2 (-16.2) | 150.4 (-12.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | URI -5.0 (-17.0) | 148.1 (-10.1) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2025 | MASS 91 – 88 URI |
| Jan 30, 2025 | URI 88 – 82 MASS |
| Feb 11, 2024 | MASS 81 – 79 URI |
| Jan 13, 2024 | URI 89 – 77 MASS |
| Feb 18, 2023 | MASS 69 – 45 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 8-7 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 6-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 4-3 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#78) | 4.5 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#103) | 0.50 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#78) | 0.95 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#121) | 0.508 (#155) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | MASS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 30.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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