Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Chartway Arena · February 7, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread MRSH -6.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Over
Money ODU +275 / MRSH -275
Model Predictions
Spread Total ODU win
Actual MRSH +20 154 Lost
Massey MRSH -5.7 (-14.3) — —
Massey Totals — 143.8 (+10.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 59% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 36% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML MRSH -1.8 (-18.2) 141.9 (+12.1) 42% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MRSH -1.8 (-18.2) 142.5 (+11.5) 44% ✓
Baseline Plus ML MRSH -2.4 (-17.6) 146.6 (+7.4) 42% ✓
Baseline ML MRSH -2.4 (-17.6) 142.5 (+11.5) 40% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 MRSH 97 – 88 ODU
Feb 12, 2026 MRSH 81 – 79 ODU
Feb 26, 2025 MRSH 83 – 66 ODU
Feb 20, 2025 MRSH 81 – 77 ODU
Feb 2, 2024 ODU 83 – 76 MRSH

Game Analysis

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