Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | COLO -275 ARIZ +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +3 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -6.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (+15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.2 (-3.2) | 144.5 (+16.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -4.2 (-1.2) | 139.1 (+21.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -6.2 (-3.2) | 143.8 (+17.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.1 (-3.1) | 142.9 (+18.1) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ARIZ 89 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 25, 2025 | ARIZ 78 – 63 COLO |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ARIZ 99 – 79 COLO |
| Jan 5, 2024 | ARIZ 97 – 50 COLO |
| Feb 19, 2023 | ARIZ 78 – 68 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 17-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#14) | 11.5 (#39) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#52) | 1.56 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#42) | 2.12 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#24) | 0.564 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 75.3% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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