Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -150 TOW +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +13 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -4.5 (+8.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -4.5 (+8.5) | 143.3 (-24.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -3.2 (+9.8) | 138.5 (-19.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -4.8 (+8.2) | 144.1 (-25.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -4.7 (+8.3) | 143.0 (-24.0) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | TOW 81 – 56 COFC |
| Jan 16, 2026 | TOW 61 – 52 COFC |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COFC 77 – 69 TOW |
| Mar 11, 2024 | COFC 61 – 56 TOW |
| Feb 24, 2024 | COFC 72 – 56 TOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 4-14 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 3-9 |
| Home | 8-6 | 4-4 |
| Away | 1-3 | 0-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#237) | -6.6 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#231) | -1.40 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#237) | -1.68 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#289) | 0.411 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | TOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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