Betting Lines
| Spread | SEA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +130 SEA -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SEA +21 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | SEA -2.2 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEA -0.4 (-20.6) | 144.6 (-11.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEA -1.6 (-19.4) | 144.8 (-11.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEA -1.4 (-19.6) | 147.5 (-14.5) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SEA -0.3 (-20.7) | 145.2 (-12.2) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2025 | SEA 70 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SEA 82 – 62 UTU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SEA 66 – 65 UTU |
| Jan 5, 2024 | SEA 70 – 53 UTU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | UTU 93 – 56 SEA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-13 | 12-11 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 4-5 |
| Home | 5-7 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | -13.0 (#331) | -8.2 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#291) | -1.57 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#307) | -1.77 (#281) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#270) | 0.378 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 23.1% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
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