Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +850 PEPP -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +21 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -11.9 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -10.8 (-10.2) | 154.8 (+6.2) | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -10.2 (-10.8) | 154.9 (+6.1) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -11.5 (-9.5) | 155.4 (+5.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -11.1 (-9.9) | 153.8 (+7.2) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | PORT 77 – 68 PEPP |
| Feb 19, 2026 | PEPP 95 – 87 PORT |
| Jan 15, 2026 | PEPP 67 – 63 PORT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PEPP 86 – 73 PORT |
| Feb 28, 2025 | PORT 87 – 67 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-15 | 15-12 |
| Conference | 0-11 | 7-6 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-5 |
| Away | 1-6 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L13 | W3 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 85.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#330) | 1.5 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#275) | 0.44 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.35 (#308) | 0.53 (#143) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#285) | 0.510 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.4% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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