Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | NEV +188 BOIS -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEV +11 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -5.6 (+16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -2.7 (+13.7) | 146.6 (-11.6) | 35% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -3.0 (+14.0) | 142.2 (-7.2) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -2.8 (+13.8) | 147.3 (-12.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -3.2 (+14.2) | 146.8 (-11.8) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | BOIS 91 – 87 NEV |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NEV 81 – 66 BOIS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BOIS 70 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 30, 2025 | BOIS 66 – 56 NEV |
| Mar 6, 2024 | NEV 76 – 66 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-10 | 19-9 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 3.8 (#114) | 12.0 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#118) | 2.63 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.84 (#126) | 3.15 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#105) | 0.635 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 79.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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