Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FGCU -150 UNA +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FGCU +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | FGCU -4.2 (+4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -3.6 (+5.4) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -3.3 (+5.7) | 144.0 (-15.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -4.1 (+4.9) | 144.7 (-15.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -4.1 (+4.9) | 143.5 (-14.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | FGCU 69 – 58 UNA |
| Jan 30, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 64 UNA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | FGCU 72 – 55 UNA |
| Jan 10, 2025 | FGCU 75 – 70 UNA |
| Feb 4, 2024 | UNA 70 – 69 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-8 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 7-8 |
| Home | 7-4 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-2 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#269) | -8.2 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#223) | -1.12 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#244) | -1.60 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#259) | 0.437 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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