Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
| Money | UK +160 TENN -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +11 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -5.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.7 (+30.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -3.2 (-7.8) | 128.7 (+24.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -2.8 (-8.2) | 130.6 (+22.4) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -2.7 (-8.3) | 130.6 (+22.4) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -2.9 (-8.1) | 128.8 (+24.2) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | UK 74 – 71 TENN |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UK 80 – 78 TENN |
| Mar 28, 2025 | TENN 78 – 65 UK |
| Feb 12, 2025 | UK 75 – 64 TENN |
| Jan 29, 2025 | UK 78 – 73 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-16 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 10-7 |
| Home | 5-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 63.5 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#66) | 16.2 (#10) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#115) | 2.41 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.66 (#81) | 3.17 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#116) | 0.574 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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