Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -150 ORU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -4.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.5 (+14.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -4.7 (-10.7) | 136.5 (+17.5) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -3.9 (-9.9) | 137.9 (+16.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -5.0 (-11.0) | 139.1 (+14.9) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -4.6 (-10.6) | 137.8 (+16.2) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | NDSU 76 – 65 ORU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NDSU 86 – 58 ORU |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NDSU 79 – 77 ORU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | NDSU 94 – 88 ORU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | NDSU 110 – 96 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 10-5 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#164) | -1.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#219) | -1.47 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#219) | -1.91 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#180) | 0.497 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 79.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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