Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | NORF -275 COPP +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +12 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -8.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -7.9 (+4.1) | 150.3 (+5.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -6.5 (+5.5) | 152.8 (+3.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -7.8 (+4.2) | 152.3 (+3.7) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.4 (+4.6) | 151.1 (+4.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Game Analysis
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