Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | FAIR +160 QUIN -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAIR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +15 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -3.5 (-11.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -2.3 (-12.7) | 130.9 (+10.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.9 (-13.1) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.8 (-13.2) | 134.9 (+6.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -3.0 (-12.0) | 133.4 (+7.6) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | FAIR 85 – 79 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2026 | QUIN 72 – 65 FAIR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FAIR 83 – 74 QUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | QUIN 81 – 69 FAIR |
| Feb 24, 2024 | FAIR 85 – 81 QUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-17 | 9-13 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-10 |
| Home | 4-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.8 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#321) | -4.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#299) | -1.00 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.90 (#285) | -1.04 (#242) |
| RPI | 0.407 (#312) | 0.429 (#281) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAIR | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 39.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 28.6% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 20.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 41.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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