Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BRAD -333 SIU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +1 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | BRAD -8.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -6.4 (-7.4) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -5.3 (-6.3) | 130.9 (+6.1) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -5.7 (-6.7) | 133.4 (+3.6) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -5.9 (-6.9) | 134.0 (+3.0) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | BRAD 70 – 60 SIU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 69 SIU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BRAD 78 – 64 SIU |
| Dec 4, 2024 | BRAD 83 – 60 SIU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 67 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-16 | 12-14 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 64.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | -2.7 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#181) | -0.31 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#198) | -0.80 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#167) | 0.477 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 17.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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