Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -400 SIU +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +14 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -10.2 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -9.9 (+4.1) | 146.9 (-4.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -9.7 (+4.3) | 145.9 (-3.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -9.6 (+4.4) | 145.7 (-3.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -9.8 (+4.2) | 147.1 (-5.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | BRAD 70 – 60 SIU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | BRAD 73 – 69 SIU |
| Dec 4, 2024 | BRAD 83 – 60 SIU |
| Feb 29, 2024 | BRAD 86 – 67 SIU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | BRAD 70 – 69 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#91) | -1.0 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#67) | 0.02 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#82) | 0.00 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#66) | 0.521 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 40.1% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 26.3% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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