Betting Lines
| Spread | GT -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GT -163 ND +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GT +2 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | GT -3.2 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GT -3.2 (-1.2) | 145.2 (+16.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GT -2.6 (-0.6) | 145.1 (+16.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GT -3.3 (-1.3) | 145.4 (+16.6) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GT -3.5 (-1.5) | 144.8 (+17.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | ND 89 – 74 GT |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ND 71 – 68 GT |
| Dec 31, 2024 | GT 86 – 75 ND |
| Mar 12, 2024 | ND 84 – 80 GT |
| Feb 15, 2024 | ND 58 – 55 GT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GT | ND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-9 | 11-15 |
| Conference | 11-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 6-5 |
| Away | 4-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#64) | 8.2 (#69) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#74) | 1.04 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#62) | 1.72 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#144) | 0.518 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GT | ND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.42 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 15.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 20.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 12.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.