Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -250 CSUB +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -7.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.2 (-5.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -6.7 (-11.7) | 128.9 (-9.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -3.8 (-8.8) | 126.9 (-7.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -5.8 (-10.8) | 128.9 (-9.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -6.7 (-11.7) | 128.1 (-9.1) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | UCI 78 – 62 CSUB |
| Jan 1, 2026 | UCI 81 – 77 CSUB |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCI 73 – 64 CSUB |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCI 82 – 66 CSUB |
| Feb 18, 2024 | UCI 77 – 71 CSUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-1 | 9-2 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#102) | 0.4 (#159) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#117) | 0.35 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#103) | 0.57 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#93) | 0.518 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.6% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 33.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.